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Showing posts from November, 2021

Goldman Predicts Copper to hit $5 next year

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Goldman Sachs predicts copper will rise to $5.39 next year and keep on rising in the following years. The average copper price of all forecasters is $4/lb. 

Lithium Demand to Surpass Supply

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Lithium demand is expected to surpass lithium supply in 2022-2024. This deficit will lead to an increase in lithium price.  Lithium is also much better than hydrogen from an energy efficiency perspective .

Cobalt Vs. Lithium

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Both cobalt and lithium are battery metals.  

Sprott Holdings Update November 2021

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Sprott filed its new holdings . Sprott bought: FSM (which crashed recently), Nucor, a bunch of uranium miners. Sprott sold: RIO, XOM, FCM, Platinum, a bunch of silver miners.

Carbon Taxes to Benefit Copper

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Higher carbon taxes will push up the substitution curve and benefit copper vs aluminium. 

China Credit Impulse is Booming

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  China is booming.

China Power Consumption Stable in October 2021

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China is slowing down a bit. 

Iron Ore Inventories Are Rising

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Iron ore has huge problems.  

EIA and OPEC Forecast Oil To Plunge

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The EIA forecasts oil to plummet.  And OPEC expects an oil surplus in Q1 2022.

SMM Survey Believes Copper Is The Best Metal

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The SMM surey believes copper has the most upside. 

$1 Trillion Infrastructure Bill Passed

The $1 trillion infrastructure bill just passed . This will benefit commodities like copper. —$40b bridges —$70b roads —$11b safety —$39b transit —$66b Amtrak/rail —$7.5b e-vehicle chargers —$5b clean buses —$17b ports —$25b airports —$50b water resilience —$55b drinking water —$65b broadband —$65b electric grid —$21b enviro remediation —$73b power/clean energy Roads and bridges:  Headlining the 2,702-page  bill 's spending, roughly $110 billion of new funds would go toward improving the nation's roads and bridges, and investments in other major transportation programs. Public transit:  The package also includes the largest-ever federal investment in public transit, allotting $39 billion to modernize systems, improve access for the elderly and people with disabilities, and repair more than 24,000 buses, 5,000 rail cars and thousands of miles of train tracks. Amtrak:  The legislation marks the largest investment in passenger rail since the creation of Amtrak 50 years ...

Fed Tapering

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The Fed started tapering . This should start the bull market in gold since the whole narrative changes. Sell the news event.  

Gold Forecaster Index: Rate Hikes Are Good For Gold

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When the Fed hikes rates, gold actually goes up . 

Gold M&A Cycle Starting

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Gold is on the verge of breaking out with the M&A cycle.