One of the reasons I'm bullish on emerging market stocks is because they underperformed the U.S. in 2013. But most importantly, the P/E ratio of these emerging market stocks is at all time lows (P/E=11), while the P/E ratio in the U.S. is at 22. This is a valuation of more than double the emerging market stocks.
I think this underperformance in EM stocks is due to the underperformance of the CRB index as compared to U.S. stocks, which can also be seen here. Stocks went up (yellow line), but the CRB index (orange line) went down.
Platinum, palladium and rhodium have all been moving higher and I expect them to go higher as China is loading more palladium and rhodium in their vehicles. China vehicle sales have rebounded as well. Both palladium and rhodium are in deficit. Platinum is going to be used in 3-way catalysts , which will boost platinum prices. Sibanye-Stillwater expects platinum to reach $2000 per ounce in 2025. Sibanye-Stillwater has exposure to all of these metals. SBSW's production numbers were very good. SBSW's EBITDA was $922 million in Q3 2020. This translates to $3.7 billion EBITDA per year. With a 5 multiple, SBSW should be valued at $18 billion market cap. So there is 50% upside. The company has no net debt. Net earnings were $1 billion per year in 2020, but is expected to rise 66% on higher rhodium/platinum prices and higher production numbers. Earnings per share are expected to be at $3.52 per share, which gives Sibanye-Stillwater a P/E of 4.8 which is very cheap. On top of thi...
On June 24th, 2016, Britain voted to leave the EU. The immediate reaction was an 8% plunge in the Nikkei, financials dropped between 10-30%, negative bond yields went even more negative and gold surged 8%. George Soros predicted that we would have a 20% drop in pound and he was right. These are large moves and this is my take on what investors should be doing next. Read further here .
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