Stock market overextended



When GDP growth gets consistently revised downwards while the stock market goes up every day, we get an overextended TMC/GDP ratio at 121.3%. Yes, we are in a stock market bubble. The question is, when will it pop? Keep your finger on the sell button.





First it was 0.1% GDP growth, then it was -0.1%, then it was -1% and suddenly today they reported -2.9% GDP growth. Incompetent people...








Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Sibanye-Stillwater

Image
Platinum, palladium and rhodium have all been moving higher and I expect them to go higher as China is loading more palladium and rhodium in their vehicles. China vehicle sales have rebounded as well. Both palladium and rhodium are in deficit. Platinum is going to be used in 3-way catalysts , which will boost platinum prices. Sibanye-Stillwater expects platinum to reach $2000 per ounce in 2025. Sibanye-Stillwater has exposure to all of these metals. SBSW's production numbers were very good. SBSW's EBITDA was $922 million in Q3 2020. This translates to $3.7 billion EBITDA per year. With a 5 multiple, SBSW should be valued at $18 billion market cap. So there is 50% upside. The company has no net debt. Net earnings were $1 billion per year in 2020, but is expected to rise 66% on higher rhodium/platinum prices and higher production numbers. Earnings per share are expected to be at $3.52 per share, which gives Sibanye-Stillwater a P/E of 4.8 which is very cheap. On top of thi...
Read more

The Consequences of Brexit

On June 24th, 2016, Britain voted to leave the EU. The immediate reaction was an 8% plunge in the Nikkei, financials dropped between 10-30%, negative bond yields went even more negative and gold surged 8%. George Soros predicted that we would have a 20% drop in pound and he was right. These are large moves and this is my take on what investors should be doing next. Read further here .
Read more